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Football/MLS/FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes
MLS · Toyota Stadium Dallas

FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes prediction

FC Dallas crestFC Dallas3rd in Western · 51 ptsWLLWD
v
San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes4th in Western · 48 ptsDWDDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from FC Dallas and 1.5 from San Jose Earthquakes, so FC Dallas come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

San Jose Earthquakes come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓FC Dallas have won two of their last five.
✓San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last five — one win and four draws.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent results

17 May 2026San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 3 FC Dallas
17 Jul 2025San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 FC Dallas
26 Jun 2025FC Dallas 2 - 4 San Jose Earthquakes
3 Oct 2024San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 2 FC Dallas
25 Feb 2024FC Dallas 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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