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Football/MLS/New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo
MLS · Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo: how it went

New England Revolution crestNew England RevolutionWLDWD
0 - 2
Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoWDDWW
Full time

How it turned out

The game finished with 2 goals.

What we said beforehand

Houston Dynamo come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
New England Revolution have won two of their last five.
Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

3 Oct 2024Houston Dynamo 2 - 1 New England Revolution
5 Mar 2023New England Revolution 3 - 0 Houston Dynamo
14 Sept 2022Houston Dynamo 3 - 1 New England Revolution
30 Jun 2019New England Revolution 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo
1 Apr 2018Houston Dynamo 0 - 2 New England Revolution
New England Revolution have won three of the last five meetings.

One thing to watch

One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 58%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

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