What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from New England Revolution and 1.3 from New York City, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓New England Revolution have won one of their last five.
✓New York City have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
20 Apr 2025New England Revolution 2 - 0 New York City
15 Mar 2025New York City 2 - 1 New England Revolution
26 May 2024New England Revolution 0 - 1 New York City
14 Apr 2024New York City 2 - 0 New England Revolution
3 Jun 2023New York City 0 - 0 New England Revolution
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 58%.
