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Football/MLS/San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United
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San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United: how it went

San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesLDLLL
1 - 5
Minnesota United crestMinnesota UnitedLDDDL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 56%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from San Jose Earthquakes and 1.3 from Minnesota United, so San Jose Earthquakes come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

San Jose Earthquakes come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓San Jose Earthquakes have not won any of their last five.
✓Minnesota United have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

13 Jul 2025Minnesota United 4 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes
9 Mar 2025San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 1 Minnesota United
1 Sept 2024San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 2 Minnesota United
21 Jul 2024Minnesota United 2 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes
1 Oct 2023Minnesota United 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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