How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. We made San Diego FC to win 53%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from San Diego FC and 1.1 from Colorado Rapids, so San Diego FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Colorado Rapids come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: San Diego FC to win. San Diego FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.1), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.03, which works out at about 49 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Colorado Rapids have won two of the last three meetings.
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