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Football/MLS/New England Revolution v Seattle Sounders
MLS · Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution v Seattle Sounders prediction

New England Revolution crestNew England RevolutionWWWWW
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Seattle Sounders crestSeattle SoundersLDDDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from New England Revolution and 1.0 from Seattle Sounders, so New England Revolution come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

New England Revolution come into this on five straight wins. Seattle Sounders come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.0), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
New England Revolution are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
Seattle Sounders have not won any of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

7 Jul 2024Seattle Sounders 2 - 0 New England Revolution
10 Aug 2019Seattle Sounders 3 - 3 New England Revolution
8 Jul 2018New England Revolution 0 - 0 Seattle Sounders
30 Apr 2017Seattle Sounders 3 - 3 New England Revolution
29 May 2016New England Revolution 2 - 1 Seattle Sounders
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

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