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Football/MLS/New York City v Los Angeles FC
MLS · Yankee Stadium

New York City v Los Angeles FC prediction

New York City crestNew York CityDLWLD
v
Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC6th in Western · 42 ptsLDDLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from New York City and 1.2 from Los Angeles FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓New York City have won one of their last five.
✓Los Angeles FC have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

2 Mar 2025Los Angeles FC 1 - 0 New York City
29 May 2021Los Angeles FC 1 - 2 New York City
17 Mar 2019New York City 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC
14 May 2018Los Angeles FC 2 - 2 New York City
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.

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