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Football/MLS/Philadelphia Union v Charlotte
MLS · Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union v Charlotte prediction

Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union6th in Eastern · 42 ptsWWWWW
v
Charlotte crestCharlotteDWDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from Philadelphia Union and 1.4 from Charlotte, so Philadelphia Union come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Philadelphia Union come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓Charlotte have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

5 Apr 2026Charlotte 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union
18 Oct 2025Charlotte 2 - 0 Philadelphia Union
15 Jun 2025Philadelphia Union 2 - 1 Charlotte
23 Jun 2024Philadelphia Union 0 - 2 Charlotte
26 May 2024Charlotte 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union
Charlotte have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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