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Football/MLS/New York City v Nashville SC
MLS · Yankee Stadium

New York City v Nashville SC prediction

New York City crestNew York CityWWDLL
v
Nashville SC crestNashville SCWWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from New York City and 1.3 from Nashville SC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

New York City come into this on two straight defeats. Nashville SC come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
New York City have won two of their last five.
Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 May 2026Nashville SC 2 - 1 New York City
17 Aug 2025New York City 2 - 1 Nashville SC
31 May 2025Nashville SC 2 - 2 New York City
6 Oct 2024New York City 3 - 1 Nashville SC
23 Jun 2024Nashville SC 1 - 0 New York City
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. We make it about 59% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.

More MLS fixtures

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