How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Both teams to score 60%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
New York City host Nashville SC at home on 4 September 2026 in the MLS. Nashville sit top of the table, first of fifteen, with 53 points from 23 games and a +30 goal difference. New York City are down in the middle of the table and have only two wins in their last eight matches. The gap between the two sides is huge, and the standings mean Nashville are looking to keep their lead while New York City hope to climb out of the lower half. Both teams have similar goal expectations – about 1.2 for New York City and 1.4 for Nashville – so a game with goals on both ends is likely.
New York City’s recent form has been mixed. In their last eight games they have won twice, drawn three times and lost three times. The most recent results are a 1-1 draw with Toronto FC away, a 1-1 draw with New England Revolution away, a 2-1 loss to FC Cincinnati away, a 3-2 loss to Philadelphia Union at home, a 1-1 draw with Toronto FC at home and a 3-1 win over Chicago Fire at home. Those eight games produced 12 goals for and 12 against New York City. Five of the games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in all eight matches. Their last three home outings gave them one win, one draw and one loss.
Nashville SC arrive on a wave of six straight victories. In their last eight games they have won six, drawn one and lost one. The recent scores are a 4-0 win over FC Cincinnati at home, another 4-0 win over Cincinnati at home, a 3-2 win over Columbus Crew at home, a repeat 3-2 win over Columbus at home, a 1-0 win at New York Red Bulls away and a 4-1 win over Inter Miami at home. Across those eight games Nashville have scored 21 and let in only eight. They kept three clean sheets and were held scoreless once. Six of the games had three or more goals and both teams scored in four of them. Their last three road matches gave them one win, one draw and one loss.
The two clubs have met five times before. New York City have won two of those meetings, Nashville have also won two and one ended in a draw. The average scoreline of those games is three goals. The most recent encounter was on 24 May 2026 when Nashville beat New York City 2-1. Given the history of relatively high-scoring affairs and the fact that both sides have been involved in games where both teams find the net, we can expect another open contest.
Our pick is both teams to score. The price of 1.65 matches our own view of the game. Both sides are averaging around a goal and a half per match, and the recent records show plenty of games with three or more goals and both teams scoring. The chance of this happening sits at about 60 %. For the pick to fail, one side would need to keep a clean sheet – either Nashville holding New York City scoreless or New York City shutting out Nashville – which looks unlikely given the numbers and recent form. We think the price is good and the bet has a solid chance of succeeding.
Recent meetings
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