New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC prediction

New York Red Bulls8th in Eastern · 36 ptsWWLLW

Toronto FC11th in Eastern · 32 ptsLLLLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from New York Red Bulls and 1.3 from Toronto FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓New York Red Bulls have won three of their last five.

✓Toronto FC have won one of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.

✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

14 Mar 2026Toronto FC 1 - 1 New York Red Bulls

26 Jun 2025Toronto FC 1 - 1 New York Red Bulls

22 Mar 2025New York Red Bulls 2 - 1 Toronto FC

3 Oct 2024Toronto FC 1 - 4 New York Red Bulls

23 Jun 2024New York Red Bulls 3 - 0 Toronto FC

New York Red Bulls have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More MLS fixtures

Full fixture list

23:30

CF MontrealvAtlanta Utd

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

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23:30

Columbus CrewvCharlotte

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.49Share

23:30

DC UnitedvNew York Red Bulls

★★★★★

This is about New York Red Bulls's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 68%.

Top pickNew York Red Bulls to score 1 or fewer · 1.57Share

23:30

FC CincinnativNew England Revolution

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.40Share