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Football/MLS/Portland Timbers v Minnesota United
MLS · Providence Park

Portland Timbers v Minnesota United prediction

Portland Timbers crestPortland TimbersDWWLW
v
Minnesota United crestMinnesota UnitedLDDDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from Portland Timbers and 1.2 from Minnesota United, so Portland Timbers come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Portland Timbers have won three of their last five.
Minnesota United have not won any of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

19 Apr 2026Minnesota United 2 - 0 Portland Timbers
31 Aug 2025Minnesota United 1 - 1 Portland Timbers
20 Jul 2025Portland Timbers 1 - 1 Minnesota United
30 Jun 2024Portland Timbers 3 - 2 Minnesota United
19 May 2024Minnesota United 2 - 1 Portland Timbers
Minnesota United have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

One thing to watch

A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. The price is shorter than our own read of about 58%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More MLS fixtures

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