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Football/MLS/San Diego FC v Sporting Kansas City
MLS · Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego FC v Sporting Kansas City prediction

San Diego FC crestSan Diego FC12th in Western · 38 ptsDDDLW
v
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City15th in Western · 23 ptsLLLLD

What to expect

We expect about 2.7 goals from San Diego FC and 1.6 from Sporting Kansas City, so San Diego FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 4.3 goals between the two (xG 2.7-1.6), landing about 65% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓San Diego FC have won one of their last five.
✓Sporting Kansas City have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last three meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last three meetings.

Recent results

8 Mar 2026Sporting Kansas City 0 - 1 San Diego FC
10 Aug 2025Sporting Kansas City 0 - 2 San Diego FC
18 May 2025San Diego FC 0 - 0 Sporting Kansas City

San Diego FC have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.

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