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Football/MLS/Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire
MLS · Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders v Chicago Fire prediction

Seattle Sounders crestSeattle SoundersLLLLD
v
Chicago Fire crestChicago FireLLWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Seattle Sounders and 1.4 from Chicago Fire, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Chicago Fire come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Seattle Sounders have not won any of their last five.
Chicago Fire have won three of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

30 Jun 2024Seattle Sounders 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
17 Jul 2022Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Seattle Sounders
14 Jul 2020Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Seattle Sounders
1 Mar 2020Seattle Sounders 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
16 Mar 2019Chicago Fire 2 - 4 Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders have won three of the last five meetings.

One thing to watch

One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 58%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More MLS fixtures

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