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Football/MLS/Toronto FC v Chicago Fire
MLS · BMO Field

Toronto FC v Chicago Fire prediction

Toronto FC crestToronto FCDLDWD
v
Chicago Fire crestChicago FireLLWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Toronto FC and 1.6 from Chicago Fire, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Chicago Fire come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Toronto FC have won one of their last five.
Chicago Fire have won three of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 May 2026Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto FC
5 Oct 2025Chicago Fire 2 - 2 Toronto FC
15 Mar 2025Toronto FC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
29 Sept 2024Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Toronto FC
16 Jun 2024Toronto FC 1 - 4 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

One thing to watch

If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. The price is shorter than our own read of about 60%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More MLS fixtures

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