How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Vancouver Whitecaps to win 60%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.9 from Houston Dynamo, so Vancouver Whitecaps come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Houston Dynamo come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Vancouver Whitecaps to win. Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
