How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Limavady or Draw 66%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Portadown and 1.1 from Limavady, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Portadown come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Limavady or Draw. This covers Limavady or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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