How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Cerro Porteño to win 34%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Guaraní and 1.1 from Cerro Porteño, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Cerro Porteño to win. Cerro Porteño shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.2), and we make them about 36% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 34 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.20, which works out at about 45 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
