How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Olimpia to win 44%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Recoleta and 1.7 from Olimpia, so Olimpia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Olimpia to win. Olimpia shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.7), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 44 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
