How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made 2 de Mayo or Draw 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Rubio Ñú and 1.1 from 2 de Mayo, so 2 de Mayo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Rubio Ñú come into this on three straight defeats. 2 de Mayo come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: 2 de Mayo or Draw. This covers 2 de Mayo or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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