How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Olimpia to win 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.6 goals from Sportivo San Lorenzo and 1.9 from Olimpia, so Olimpia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sportivo San Lorenzo come into this on five straight defeats. Olimpia come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Olimpia to win. Olimpia shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.9), and we make them about 69% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Olimpia have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
