ADC Juan Pablo II v CD Moquegua prediction

What to expect

ADC Juan Pablo II host CD Moquegua at home in the Peru Liga 1 on 20 September. Juan Pablo II sit 11th out of 18 with 15 points after nine games and a +4 goal difference. One place above them is Atlético Grau with just a point more, while FC Cajamarca sit below them five points back. A win would lift Juan Pablo II closer to the safety zone and push Moquegua further down the table. The numbers show Juan Pablo II as the stronger side, with an expected 1.9 goals compared with Moquegua’s 1.0.

We back ADC Juan Pablo II to win. The price of 1.59 is shorter than our own reading, so it looks a little cheap. Juan Pablo II have an 82 % chance to score at all and a 52 % chance to hit twice or more, while Moquegua only have a 60 % chance to find the net. Our chance of the pick working is 54 %. If Juan Pablo II manage just one goal and keep a clean sheet, the bet succeeds. It would go wrong if Moquegua score two or more and Juan Pablo II fail to score, or if the game ends in a draw.