What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from CD UT Cajamarca and 1.9 from Sporting Cristal, so Sporting Cristal come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
CD UT Cajamarca come into this on two straight defeats. Sporting Cristal come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sporting Cristal or Draw. This covers Sporting Cristal or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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