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Football/Peru Liga 1/CD UT Cajamarca v Sporting Cristal
Peru Liga 1

CD UT Cajamarca v Sporting Cristal: how it went

CD UT Cajamarca crestCD UT Cajamarca18th in Clausura · -3 ptsLLLLL
0 - 1
Sporting Cristal crestSporting Cristal4th in Clausura · 19 ptsLLWWW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Sporting Cristal or Draw 80%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.2 goals from CD UT Cajamarca and 1.9 from Sporting Cristal, so Sporting Cristal come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

CD UT Cajamarca come into this on five straight defeats. Sporting Cristal come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sporting Cristal or Draw. This covers Sporting Cristal or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓CD UT Cajamarca have not won any of their last five.
✓Sporting Cristal have won three of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

19 Apr 2026Sporting Cristal 3 - 2 CD UT Cajamarca
23 Aug 2025Sporting Cristal 2 - 2 CD UT Cajamarca
6 Apr 2025CD UT Cajamarca 4 - 1 Sporting Cristal
25 Aug 2024Sporting Cristal 4 - 0 CD UT Cajamarca
31 Mar 2024CD UT Cajamarca 1 - 2 Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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More Peru Liga 1 fixtures

Full fixture list
11 Oct 2026Sport Boys crestSport Boys1-3Alianza AtléticoAlianza Atlético crest11 Oct 2026Cusco FC crestCusco FC1-2Alianza LimaAlianza Lima crest10 Oct 2026Comerciantes Unidos crestComerciantes Unidos1-1ADC Juan Pablo IIADC Juan Pablo II crest10 Oct 2026Asociación Deportiva Tarma crestAsociación Deportiva Tarma0-0FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca crest
Every game on Sunday, 11 October 2026 →
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