How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Comerciantes Unidos or Draw 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Comerciantes Unidos and 1.1 from ADC Juan Pablo II, so Comerciantes Unidos come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Comerciantes Unidos come into this on two straight defeats. ADC Juan Pablo II come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Comerciantes Unidos or Draw. This covers Comerciantes Unidos or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Comerciantes Unidos have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.
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