Ucv Moquegua v Sporting Cristal prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Ucv Moquegua and 1.9 from Sporting Cristal, so Sporting Cristal come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sporting Cristal come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sporting Cristal to win. Sporting Cristal shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.9), and we make them about 49% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.