How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Liverpool to score 2 or fewer 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Bournemouth and 1.5 from Liverpool, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bournemouth come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Liverpool to score 2 or fewer. This is about Liverpool's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Liverpool have won four of the last five meetings.
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