How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Nott'm Forest to win 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Nott'm Forest and 0.7 from Coventry, so Nott'm Forest come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Coventry come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Nott'm Forest to win. Nott'm Forest are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.7), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last two meetings are split 1-1, with no drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
