What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Leeds and 1.0 from Crystal Palace, so Leeds come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Leeds come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.0), and we make both teams to score about 53%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.76, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Leeds have won two of their last five.
✓Crystal Palace have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
15 Mar 2026Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds
20 Dec 2025Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
9 Apr 2023Leeds 1 - 5 Crystal Palace
9 Oct 2022Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Leeds
25 Apr 2022Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds
