How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 64%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Fulham host Manchester United at Craven Cottage on 20 September 2026 in a Premier League clash that could have big implications for both clubs. Fulham sit 19th out of 20, just two points away from safety after five games and with a goal difference of minus three. One point separates them from Coventry City above and Tottenham Hotspur below, so a win would move them a step closer to staying up. Manchester United sit in a mid-table spot, 12th with five points from five games and a neutral goal difference. They are one point behind Ipswich Town and level with Nottingham Forest, so a positive result would help them climb away from the lower half. Both sides have similar expected goal numbers – about 1.3 for Fulham and 1.5 for United – and the odds for a draw or a narrow win are close.
Fulham’s recent form has been mixed over their last eight matches. They beat West Ham United 3-2 away, then drew 0-0 with Liverpool away, before suffering three defeats: 3-2 to Crystal Palace at home, 1-0 to Sunderland away and 3-2 to Chelsea at home. Their most recent win came against Newcastle, a 2-0 victory at home. In those eight games Fulham have scored ten goals and let in eleven. They kept two clean sheets but failed to find the net in three matches. Four of those games saw both sides score, and three featured three or more goals.
Manchester United have been a little steadier in their last eight outings, recording four wins, two draws and two losses. Their newest result was a 1-0 defeat to Manchester City at home, followed by a 2-2 draw with Everton away, a 5-2 win over Ipswich at home and a 2-0 loss to Hull away. Before that they beat Brighton 3-0 away and Nottingham Forest 3-2 at home. On the road in their last four games United have one win, two draws and one loss. They have scored sixteen goals while conceding eleven, kept two clean sheets and have been shut out three times. Four of those matches featured both teams scoring and five had three or more goals.
When the two clubs meet, the games have usually been open and relatively high-scoring. In their last five meetings, Fulham have won once, United three times and one match ended in a draw. The average total of goals in those encounters is 2.4. The most recent fixture, on 1 February 2026, ended 3-2 to Manchester United, showing that both sides are capable of finding the net. Given the similar expected goal figures and the recent history of both teams scoring, we anticipate another match with chances at both ends.
Our pick is for both teams to score. The chance of this happening sits at 64 out of 100 and the price of 1.52 matches our view of the game. Both sides have enough attacking threat to get on the scoresheet, and the recent patterns suggest goals are likely. The bet would fail if the game turns into a defensive slog with either side keeping a clean sheet, which would be a surprise given the numbers we have. Otherwise, we expect at least one goal from each side.
Recent results
Man United have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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