How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Crystal Palace to score 1 or fewer 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Brighton and 1.1 from Crystal Palace, so Brighton come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Brighton come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Crystal Palace to score 1 or fewer. This is about Crystal Palace's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Crystal Palace have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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