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Football/Premier League/Leeds v Man United
Premier League

Leeds v Man United prediction

Leeds crestLeedsWDDLW
v
Man United crestMan UnitedWLWDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Leeds and 1.4 from Man United, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Leeds have won two of their last five.
Man United have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

13 Apr 2026Man United 1 - 2 Leeds
4 Jan 2026Leeds 1 - 1 Man United
12 Feb 2023Leeds 0 - 2 Man United
8 Feb 2023Man United 2 - 2 Leeds
20 Feb 2022Leeds 2 - 4 Man United
Man United have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More Premier League fixtures

Full fixture list
Man City crestMan CityvSunderlandSunderland crest★★★★★
Man City are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.7), and we make them about 73% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMan City to win · 1.35Share
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