Coventry v Brighton: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Both teams to score 57%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.0 goals from Coventry and 1.4 from Brighton, so Brighton come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Coventry come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.0-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.