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Football/Premier League/Everton v Chelsea
Premier League

Everton v Chelsea prediction

Everton crestEvertonDDDWW
v
Chelsea crestChelseaWLWDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Everton and 1.4 from Chelsea, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Everton come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Everton are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
Chelsea have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in no of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

21 Mar 2026Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea
13 Dec 2025Chelsea 2 - 0 Everton
26 Apr 2025Chelsea 1 - 0 Everton
22 Dec 2024Everton 0 - 0 Chelsea
15 Apr 2024Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
Chelsea have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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Man City are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.7), and we make them about 73% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMan City to win · 1.35Share
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