How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Everton to score 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Everton and 1.4 from Chelsea, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Everton to score. This is about Everton's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Chelsea have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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