What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Hull and 0.8 from Everton, so Hull come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Everton come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.0 goals between the two (xG 1.2-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 49 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.72, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Hull have won two of their last five.
✓Everton have won one of their last five.
