Hull v Everton: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Hull or Draw 74%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Hull and 0.9 from Everton, so Hull come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Everton come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Hull or Draw. This covers Hull or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.66, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.