What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Man United and 1.3 from Aston Villa, so Man United come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Man United come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Man United have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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