What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Estoril and 0.9 from Casa Pia, so Estoril come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.6 goals between the two (xG 1.7-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Estoril have not won any of their last five.
✓Casa Pia have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
7 Mar 2026Estoril 0 - 0 Casa Pia
3 Oct 2025Casa Pia 2 - 2 Estoril
29 Apr 2025Casa Pia 1 - 3 Estoril
15 Dec 2024Estoril 0 - 2 Casa Pia
8 Apr 2024Casa Pia 0 - 0 Estoril
