How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Gil Vicente and 0.8 from Casa Pia, so Gil Vicente come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Casa Pia come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Gil Vicente (Draw No Bet). Gil Vicente are favoured here (xG 1.7-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Gil Vicente defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →