What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Gil Vicente and 1.0 from Guimaraes, so Gil Vicente come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Gil Vicente come into this on two straight defeats. Guimaraes come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Gil Vicente to score. This is about Gil Vicente's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Guimaraes have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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