What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Maritimo and 1.4 from Santa Clara, so Santa Clara come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Maritimo come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Santa Clara to score. This is about Santa Clara's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Maritimo have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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