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Football/Primeira Liga/Moreirense v Gil Vicente
Primeira Liga · Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense v Gil Vicente prediction

Moreirense crestMoreirenseLLWWD
v
Gil Vicente crestGil VicenteDLLDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Moreirense and 1.2 from Gil Vicente, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Gil Vicente come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Gil Vicente or Draw. This covers Gil Vicente or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Moreirense have won two of their last five.
Gil Vicente have not won any of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

7 Feb 2026Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
29 Aug 2025Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Moreirense
6 Apr 2025Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense
8 Nov 2024Moreirense 3 - 2 Gil Vicente
20 Apr 2024Moreirense 0 - 1 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente have won three of the last five meetings.

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