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Football/Primeira Liga/Sp Braga v Sp Lisbon
Primeira Liga · Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sp Braga v Sp Lisbon prediction

Sp Braga crestSp BragaWWLWD
v
Sp Lisbon crestSp LisbonWWDDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Sp Braga and 1.8 from Sp Lisbon, so Sp Lisbon come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Sp Lisbon come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sp Lisbon or Draw. This covers Sp Lisbon or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Sp Braga have won three of their last five.
Sp Lisbon are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

7 Mar 2026Sp Braga 2 - 2 Sp Lisbon
5 Oct 2025Sp Lisbon 1 - 1 Sp Braga
7 Apr 2025Sp Lisbon 1 - 1 Sp Braga
10 Nov 2024Sp Braga 2 - 4 Sp Lisbon
11 Feb 2024Sp Lisbon 5 - 0 Sp Braga
Sp Lisbon have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.

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