How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Not both teams to score 59%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from Rio Ave and 1.8 from Porto, so Porto come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Porto come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.5 goals between the two (xG 0.7-1.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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