What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Sp Braga and 0.9 from Gil Vicente, so Sp Braga come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.4-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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