How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Under 2.5 goals 57%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.6 goals in total (xG 1.5-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 59%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Defensa y Justicia have won one of their last five.
✓Newells Old Boys have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent results
8 Feb 2026Newells Old Boys 2 - 3 Defensa y Justicia
17 Aug 2025Defensa y Justicia 1 - 1 Newells Old Boys
12 Feb 2025Newells Old Boys 0 - 1 Defensa y Justicia
25 May 2024Newells Old Boys 1 - 0 Defensa y Justicia
16 Apr 2024Defensa y Justicia 1 - 0 Newells Old Boys
Defensa y Justicia have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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