How it turned out
We projected about 1.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 61%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Dep. Riestra host Central Cordoba at home in a Primera División clash on 5 October 2026. Riestra sit 12th out of 15 with ten points from ten games and a –2 goal difference. One place above them, Estudiantes are just a point ahead, while Platense sit one spot below, a point back. Both clubs are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, so a point will matter for either side. The numbers suggest a tight, low-scoring affair, with Riestra expected to score a little more than their visitors.
Riestra have not won in their last seven outings. In their last eight games they have managed one win, four draws and three defeats. The most recent results were a 0-0 draw away at Gimnasia Mendoza, a 3-0 loss at home to Lanús, another 3-0 home defeat to Lanús, a 1-1 draw away at Platense, a 1-1 stalemate at home to Vélez Sársfield and a goalless draw away at Huracán. Across those eight matches they have found the net only four times while conceding ten. They have kept three clean sheets but have failed to score in five games, showing how difficult it has been to break the deadlock.
Central Cordoba have also struggled, going six games without a win. Their last eight results contain two victories, two draws and four losses. The most recent fixtures were a 2-2 home draw with Defensa y Justicia, a 3-1 away loss to Boca Juniors, a 1-0 home defeat by Independiente, a 0-0 away draw with Talleres Córdoba, a 2-1 away loss to Tigre and a 1-0 home loss to Instituto. In that span they have scored seven goals and let in ten. They have kept two clean sheets but have been shut out three times, indicating a fragile attack that often struggles to find the net.
When the two sides have met before, the games have been low-scoring. In the last four meetings Riestra have won twice, Cordoba once and there has been one draw, with an average of just one goal per game. The most recent encounter on 18 March 2026 ended 1-0 to Central Cordoba. Given the recent form of both clubs and the history of tight matches, we expect another quiet contest, likely decided by a single goal or possibly ending without either side scoring.
Our pick is that both teams will not score. The price of 1.54 looks short compared with our reading of the game, which points to a low-scoring affair. The chance of this outcome happening sits at 61 per cent in our view. For the pick to fail, both sides would need to find the net, which seems unlikely given Riestra’s five goalless games in their recent run and Cordoba’s three scoreless outings. A clean sheet or a 1-0 result looks the most probable way this match will finish.
Recent results
Dep. Riestra have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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