What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Estudiantes L.P. and 0.7 from Newells Old Boys, so Estudiantes L.P. come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Estudiantes L.P. come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.2 goals between the two (xG 1.5-0.7). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
It only takes one lapse at either end — both sides finding the net is never far away. We make it about 62% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
