Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Atl. Tucuman: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 1.8 goals and the game finished with 1. We made Atl. Tucuman (Draw No Bet) 56%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 0.7 goals from Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 1.1 from Atl. Tucuman, so Atl. Tucuman come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Our pick: Atl. Tucuman (Draw No Bet). Atl. Tucuman are favoured here (xG 0.7-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Atl. Tucuman defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.75, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.