How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Under 2.5 goals 60%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Gimnasia L.P. come into this on two straight wins. Barracas Central come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.0 goals in total (xG 1.1-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 62%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Gimnasia L.P. have won four of the last five meetings.
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