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Football/Primera División/Gimnasia L.P. v Belgrano
Primera División · Estadio El Gigante del Norte

Gimnasia L.P. v Belgrano prediction

Gimnasia L.P. crestGimnasia L.P.3rd in Clausura Group B · 28 ptsDWWWW
v
Belgrano crestBelgrano5th in Clausura Group B · 23 ptsWLLLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Gimnasia L.P. and 0.9 from Belgrano, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Gimnasia L.P. come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Belgrano to score 1 or fewer. This is about Belgrano's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Belgrano have won one of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last five meetings.

Recent results

26 Apr 2026Belgrano 0 - 1 Gimnasia L.P.
26 Aug 2024Belgrano 0 - 1 Gimnasia L.P.
16 Apr 2023Gimnasia L.P. 0 - 2 Belgrano
2 Nov 2018Belgrano 2 - 0 Gimnasia L.P.
25 Nov 2017Belgrano 2 - 0 Gimnasia L.P.

Belgrano have won three of the last five meetings.

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