What to expect
Our pick: Independiente to win. Independiente the stronger side (xG 1.9-0.5), 70% to win.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Independiente have won three of their last five.
✓Estudiantes Rio Cuarto have won one of their last five.
Recent results
3 Aug 2026Lat Velez Sarsfield · 1 - 0
31 Jul 2026Wvs Newells Old Boys · 1 - 0
26 Jul 2026Wat Estudiantes L.P. · 0 - 2
10 May 2026Lat Rosario Central · 3 - 1
2 May 2026Wat San Lorenzo · 1 - 2
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