How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Over 1.5 goals 61%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
San Lorenzo come into this on two straight defeats. Huracan come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 1.5 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.85, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
If one side settles for what they have, or the game turns cagey, the goals can dry up in a hurry. At around 61% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
